CRYPTO

Ripple Nearly Dissolved After SEC Sued in 2020

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Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has revealed that he and co-founder Chris Larsen seriously considered shutting the company down entirely after the SEC filed its lawsuit in December 2020. The plan was straightforward: distribute Ripple’s XRP holdings to shareholders on a pro rata basis, dissolve the company, and let the lawsuit die with it. XRP trades at $1.067, down 2.91% over 24 hours, and the market has barely flinched at the disclosure.

The Easier Path They Chose Not to Take

Think about what that plan would have meant. No Ripple. No legal precedent. No $150 million legal bill. Hundreds of people out of work, and XRP orphaned into the open market with no corporate infrastructure behind it. Garlinghouse called it “the easier outcome” during a presentation at the University of Kansas School of Business. He also called it a bad one. Speaking candidly, he said: “We almost decided to shut down the company when the SEC sued us… hundreds of people would have lost their jobs. I think that was a bad outcome, but in some ways it was the easier outcome and uh that was a difficult decision.”

The personal dimension made it worse. Garlinghouse had met with SEC officials four times between 2017 and 2019, never once accompanied by legal counsel. Not once in those four meetings was he told XRP might be classified as a security. That history shaped his conviction that Ripple was operating in a regulatory vacuum rather than willfully breaking rules. It also shaped his fury at the agency when the lawsuit landed.

CTO Emeritus David Schwartz has now added another layer to this story. He confirmed that outside lawyers told Ripple leadership the company was effectively unsalvageable after the suit was filed. Schwartz also suggested the decision to name Garlinghouse and Larsen personally was a deliberate pressure tactic, consistent with a legal strategy described publicly by then-SEC Chair Jay Clayton: target executives individually in non-fraud enforcement actions to force rapid settlements. The goal was to break resolve before a legal argument could even be assembled.

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$150 Million and a Four-Year Bet on Themselves

They stayed. And the cost of that decision was roughly $150 million in legal fees across four years. That is a substantial commitment for any company, let alone one facing regulatory siege, restricted domestic partnerships, and institutional clients too nervous to engage openly. Ripple had to run a global payments business while simultaneously funding one of the most consequential crypto legal battles in American history.

Judge Analisa Torres delivered a divided ruling in July 2023. XRP sold on public secondary markets does not constitute a security. Direct institutional sales, however, did violate securities law. The final resolution came in August 2025, when both parties withdrew their appeals and the Second Circuit closed the case. Ripple kept its $125 million civil fine and the prohibition on unregistered institutional sales. The settlement that would have reduced the penalty to $50 million was rejected by Judge Torres, who ruled that a final judgment had already been formally entered. You fight for four years and $150 million, and you still pay $125 million at the end. That is what victory looks like in a regulatory war.

For broader context on how Ripple has continued building through and after that battle, the company’s full MiCA authorization across 30 EEA nations shows just how far the institutional strategy has progressed since the darkest days of the lawsuit.

Analyst Call◷ Resolves 28 Jul 2026
Tyler Grant
Tyler Grant
XRP holds $1.07 support and breaks above $1.17 before July 28, targeting $1.25, driven by macro stabilization after Iran-US tension peaks.

The ETHGate Theory and Why It Matters Less Than People Think

Schwartz went further than most Ripple executives typically do. He floated the idea that competing crypto projects may have influenced the SEC’s enforcement decision, a theory the XRP community has labeled “ETHGate.” He was careful. He said explicitly: “I don’t have good evidence for this, but I do feel it is more real than fake.” That is a long way from an accusation. It is a sentiment, not a finding. The theory deserves acknowledgment because Schwartz gave it one, but it should not drive any serious interpretation of why XRP trades where it does today. Narrative is powerful in crypto markets. This particular narrative is more satisfying than it is provable.

What the Market Is Actually Telling You

Here is the uncomfortable truth about this story and its price impact: there is none. XRP at $1.067 is not reacting to a survival story. It is reacting to oil prices spiking after a fourth round of US strikes on Iran and the reported closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Macro risk-off hit Bitcoin, Ethereum, and everything else. XRP came along for the ride. The Garlinghouse disclosure, as dramatic as it is, has been filed away by the market. That tells you something important about where XRP sits in the cycle right now. Sentiment-driven retail is not running this token at the moment. The narrative engine is idling.

Technical structure is not broken. Support at $1.07 has held through repeated tests over the past week, with the broader range capped between $1.07 and $1.17. A daily close below $1.07 puts the psychological $1.00 level back in play. A volume-backed break above $1.17 opens a path toward $1.25. Neither scenario is imminent based on current conditions. The market is waiting, and waiting markets are honest markets. There is no conviction in either direction right now, which is itself a data point worth respecting. As XRP’s golden cross and MVRV signals from earlier this month suggested, the structural setup still favors bulls on a longer horizon. But structure and timing are different things.

The Ripple survival story is real and it is remarkable. A company that lawyers called unsalvageable after the 2020 SEC lawsuit spent $150 million, fought for four years, and emerged operating in 30 European markets with a stablecoin and an institutional payments network. But the market does not pay you for surviving. It pays you for what you do next. Right now, Ripple has the infrastructure. The question is whether the next catalyst is large enough to matter at a $68 billion market cap. Survival stories are the past. What traders want is a growth story they have not already priced in.

Tyler Grant

I read crypto like a mood chart. Bitcoin sets the tone, alts reveal the appetite. I track narratives, liquidity shifts and sentiment spikes before they hit the mainstream. Funding, open interest, meme coin mania, fear, greed, rotation. Nothing is sacred. Everything is cyclical. My job is to see the turn before the crowd feels it.

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